The Oil Report

The Oil Report

Bounce

Nice bounce, can this sustain?

Tim Duggan's avatar
Tim Duggan
Aug 25, 2025
∙ Paid

Apologies for the delay in this week’s report, but we have been busy updating C.O.T models here to bring you a clear and clean read on positioning that I fear a lot of the market has missed.

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In this report: Deep dive machine learning analysis in C.O.T. The data lined up last week for a nice bounce Can this sustain? See below.

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  • EIA: Increase in Iraqi oil exports to the US

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I’ll keep it short on the views/macro etc this week as C.O.T is all important to monitor the market at the moment.

Just a quick look, thanks to Vortexa at current oil inventory levels from around the world.

Source: Vortexa

China building above range but with seasonal pattern, while Shandong is storing way above long term average levels. The only thing that comes to mind here is China knows something we all don’t regarding supply risk. OR this is just a protectionist insulating move against any future shocks.

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